A few days ago I found a rather interesting betting statistics related to football matches. I found it in one of the betting forums that I usually read while searching for new betting ideas. It’s about football matches when the visiting team managed to score the first goal in the match within the first five minutes of the game.
Statistics shows in great details all the necessary data about what happens in such matches and I’ll do my best to retell it to you or at least the most important things.
First it is important to clarify that in this betting statistic are covered only the five strongest football leagues in Europe. These are the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Ligue 1 and the Bundesliga.
According to the betting data for the correct score at the end of the first half presented in this observation we can see a very interesting phenomenon. In each of the leagues most of the matches ends with no more scored goals in the first half. Say it with other words the correct score in most of the matches after the first 45 minutes is 0:1.
Here are the details. The percentages of matches ended with correct result at the half times 0:1 are – Premiership 35.6%, Serie A – 50%, La Liga – 35.4%, League 1- 33 %, Bundesliga – 36.6%.
This compared with the rates offered by the bookmakers like William Hill, bet365 and bet-at-home shows that it can be played with some success. In such cases, the coefficient for an accurate result at the half time 0:1varies depending on the class of both teams, but is very rarely below 3.
This means that it is possible to gain some profit by using this method and if you play it serious, with the necessary discipline and strict money management you can easily achieve good results in your betting.
Fulham: Kostas Mitroglou and Damien Duff will miss the match due to injury. The trio Giorgos Karagounis, Scott Parker and Dan Burn are both doubtful for the match. Ashkan Dejagah and Pajtim Kasami will miss next game if they receive at least one card in the match.
Only Leroy Fer is doubtful for the match beacuse he is suffering a hamstring injury. Robert Snodgrass and Ryan Bennett will miss next game if they get at least one card in the match.
Fulham shipped at least 3 goals each game in 5 of their last 6 home top flight games. Only one of Fulham’s last 8 home league matches have gone under 2.5 goals. The last 4 meetings between these 2 clubs at Fulham have finished over 2.5 goals. Fulham are only unbeaten one of their last 6 home league matches. Fulham could start with formation 3-5-1-1, while Norwich City will play by system 4-4-1-1. Norwich City shipped at least 2 goals each game in their last 5 trips to Fulham in all competitions. Norwich City’s last 3 away league matches have finished over 2.5 goals.
Fulham: 13 David Stockdale, 5 Brede Hangeland, 4 John Heitinga, 35 Fernando Amorebieta, 27 Sascha Riether, 10 Lewis Holtby, 7 Steve Sidwell, 9 Mahamadou Diarra, 15 Kieran Richardson, 8 Pajtim Kasami, 25 Cauley Woodrow
Norwich City: 1 John Ruddy, 5 Sebastien Bassong, 26 Joseph Yobo, 23 Martin Olsson, 2 Russell Martin, 27 Alexander Tettey, 8 Jonathan Howson, 14 Wesley Hoolahan, 7 Robert Snodgrass, 16 Johan Elmander, 11 Gary Hooper
Only one spot seperated these two sides in table. Fulham climbed to 18th place, while Norwich City are in 17th spot. Norwich lost all their last 5 trips to Fulham, they are also very poor on the road, where they lost their last 6 matches in a row. So i will take Fulham in Asian handicap. Good luck to you!